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Nov 30, 2012

chief data officer. thank you so much for being here. (applause) >> good morning, everyone. i'm kate howard. i'm the mayor's budget director. i'm here to just to talk briefly about the really exciting opportunity that i think is going to be coming up in the city, which is announcement of our new chief data officer. some people may think that the budget office is mostly being countered, but really our office is focused on how do we make government more efficient, how do we make it more effective, and how do we use information to make better decisions. and i think that's why the mayor has asked that the chief data officer sit in my office. so that they have access to financial information as well as a team of people who are already inclined to work on analytical problems. so, as the mayor and board president chiu indicated we'll be hiring a chief data officer looking for the best and brightest people. so, if you know of people or if you yourself are interested, i'd love to talk to you, so, find me after. the role of this person is to figure out how do we build on what we've already don

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Nov 24, 2012

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Nov 24, 2012

the companies that do service for us do not own the data that they generate from us, that they will have a contractual obligation to share that with the city so that we can mine that to the rest of the city, that's advance of opportunities for everybody. i know at the heart of sharing this data, there is going to be a lot more jobs created, a lot more people out therein venting new ways to establish small businesses that will improve the way we live and work and play in the city. and we look forward to great events like a super bowl host or something like that, we're going to be able to give people a really rich amount of programs that they could access from here to santa clara to san jose. we can act regionally with our data and we can join and continue to be in the great city of san francisco. so, i want to thank all of the people, all of the different starting up companies here and those that are inventing with us, thank them for celebrating innovation month in such a exemplary way. and i think we're going to have a lot more to announce before this month is out, i

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Nov 11, 2012

of sharing this data, there is going to be a lot more jobs created, a lot more people out therein venting new ways to establish small businesses that will improve the way we live and work and play in the city. and we look forward to great events like a super bowl host or something like that, we're going to be able to give people a really rich amount of programs that they could access from here to santa clara to san jose. we can act regionally with our data and we can join and continue to be in the great city of san francisco. so, i want to thank all of the people, all of the different starting up companies here and those that are inventing with us, thank them for celebrating innovation month in such a exemplary way. and i think we're going to have a lot more to announce before this month is out, including on our way to the world series. thank you very much. (applause) >> now, if i may introduce our partner in crime here, board president david chiu who is also going to be complimenting us with all of his efforts at the board. come on up, david. (applause) >> good morning. i am incredibly excit

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Nov 25, 2012

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Nov 25, 2012

that constraint. if you shared that data with companies who are looking at where do people live, how -- what their patterns are, we can get a lot more creative. when we open our data, when we suggest to departments that they can work in collaboration, when we open up and establish within our city contracts that the companies that do service for us do not own the data that they generate from us, that they will have a contractual obligation to share that with the city so that we can mine that to the rest of the city, that's advance of opportunities for everybody. i know at the heart of sharing this data, there is going to be a lot more jobs created, a lot more people out therein venting new ways to establish small businesses that will improve the way we live and work and play in the city. and we look forward to great events like a super bowl host or something like that, we're going to be able to give people a really rich amount of programs that they could access from here to santa clara to san jose. we can act regionally with our data and we can join and continue to be in the grea

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Nov 15, 2012

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Nov 15, 2012

&e is a signatory to the green button, download my data. and basically you go to the utility website. you can download your own green button data which by itself is, well, i'm an energy guy, an energy geek. i consider with confidence. it is not interesting, necessarily, but when you take your green button data and you give it to some companies, they have amazing things they can do with that green button to, again, save you money. something as simple as if you look at your green button which is kilowatt hours for those that are engineering minded, a line grab if you think about t some companies today can look at your green button and figure out if your refrigerator is broken function need a new air conditioner. that's real money if you think about it at a commercial or industrial scale. that is one data set. to your other question about what is the federal government doing, we're seeking not just an energy, but across the government to engage entrepreneurs and innovators across all the different sectors. for those of you familiar with the history of the health data initiative launched by then

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Nov 17, 2012

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Nov 17, 2012

access from here to santa clara to san jose. we can act regionally with our data and we can join and continue to be in the great city of san francisco. so, i want to thank all of the people, all of the different starting up companies here and those that are inventing with us, thank them for celebrating innovation month in such a exemplary way. and i think we're going to have a lot more to announce before this month is out, including on our way to the world series. thank you very much. (applause) >> now, if i may introduce our partner in crime here, board president david chiu who is also going to be complimenting us with all of his efforts at the board. come on up, david. (applause) >> good morning. i am incredibly excited to be here today for a couple of reasons. first of all, the hatchery is one of my favorite places in the city. there is truly a bee hive of activity of the newest innovations that san francisco will be famous for. i also love the fact that just a couple of blocks from here is where our san francisco giants are moving on to the world series. but just in this room

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Nov 11, 2012

scale. that is one data set. to your other question about what is the federal government doing, we're seeking not just an energy, but across the government to engage entrepreneurs and innovators across all the different sectors. for those of you familiar with the history of the health data initiative launched by then the hhs health and human services chief technology officer todd park, we sought to have a health data palooza proceeded by health data jambs or modeling sessions, jams sounded more fun, we can invite entrepreneurs in and see what can be done and created real products within a few months. that is being rolled out at education, energy, treasury, u.s. aid, other agencies as well. these programs are celebrating the use of open data and hopefully will provide some additional support. i think there are even folks here who have been part of these events. we're excited for that continued support and hope you can all join this initiative in the neutral. -- future. >> so, earlier you were talking a little about kind of how san francisco came in in terms of actually ading the off

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Nov 7, 2012

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Nov 7, 2012

are celebrating the use of open data and hopefully will provide some additional support. i think there are even folks here who have been part of these events. we're excited for that continued support and hope you can all join this initiative in the neutral. -- future. >> so, earlier you were talking a little about kind of how san francisco came in in terms of actually ading the officer. more broadly how do you think san francisco compares and what are some of the other cities that are doing really well in terms of open data? >> i should be clear. when san francisco is third, we have a pact. i'll add to that actually. what's great in san francisco is there is not just going to be a chief data officer. there is also the office of civic innovation. jay's team, shannon's team. by having both of those units in place i think there is going to be a really powerful team. because you can't just open up the data. you have to do things like this, where you get the community together or you have people actually talking about it because the demand side, as we were talking about it, will be there because the

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Nov 29, 2012

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Nov 29, 2012

neighborhoods covered in san francisco, and we get real-time data back that shows exactly how many people go by some of the busiest areas in san francisco. so, you can see here san francisco, on average total, i think we had 150 people cross our sensors on average for every sensor. in case you want to go into time density. so, we end up getting these really, really great visualizations of the busiest times and the least busiest times of people moving around san francisco. you want to go down into union square? you can see the data changes dramatically when we change the neighborhood. and just illustrates how different every neighborhood in san francisco really is. we're announcing today that we're providing some of this data to the city as a kind of public service to help the citizens here figure out how many people walk around their neighborhood. but mostly it's to help public service, like the fire department, the police department, the mta know more about how people move around. so, we're providing crowd data. so, if a thousand people pass one of our sensors in an hour, that data will be

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Nov 7, 2012

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Nov 7, 2012

the open data sets, and creating exposure to neighborhoods that you probably traditionally didn't even think were there, we realized there were 1200 different facilities all through the park -- all through the city as we were going out to explore. and upon our own discovery, and i being a local native, i didn't know about 800 of them. so, as we move forward into the future, taking this, working with some other departments like san francisco arts, we're creating access for people, creating efficiency with the government being able to manage transactions, creating a platform for people to actually interact with the city on a level that hasn't been done before. so, ideally, using the san francisco rec and park, the future san francisco arts app, using our mobile commerce to manage that is creating jobs, revenue, and efficiency for the public and tourists to be able to navigate san francisco in a way that hasn't been done before. thank you. >> all right. (applause) >> so, we're going to show another application from motion launch, the founder and ceo, john, will be sharing some of the work

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Nov 30, 2012

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Nov 30, 2012

be a list of every park in san francisco. i would find it in wikipedia. we stumbled into the sf data website and started looking. it was unbelievable, actually. so, some of the data sets we really needed were already there in very, very good format. and random things that i would never think of like movie set locations in the city of san francisco or every piece of civic art that was there, just really interesting things all with, you know, latitude-longitude, tags and information about them. it was really interesting. and then in my first meeting, in our first meeting with the innovation group, the city i heard of 10 other things that i clearly should have been using and didn't even know existed, literally within the first 15 minutes of the meeting. ss things like street safety, sidewalk safety scores and quality scores so we could wrap people around places. * route people around places. really unbelievable. we availed ourselves of resources going forward. we had the same -- like any data set, you find great things about it. then there's missing values or is thisxtion that got auto populat

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Nov 9, 2012

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Nov 9, 2012

. >> this is the 18th edition. it's been around for awhile. you've seen it often. and that data is through the calendar year 2011. as you know, it covers a range of demographic and economic items from populations from employment to monetary transactions and building activity. there are two sets of goals. a short term goal to more vied land use and economic data and make that available to community groups, businesses and private public agencies. and then there is a long-term goal which is to establish a consistent time series of data which can actually be used for research and analysis, compile some background information and use that for updating the commerce and industry element of the general plan. this year we have a new format. the first section is an about section which basically describes this new format and provides a little basic information on the data and method that will be useful for the summary sections. and then there is an information graphic highlight, which you can see a clip of under building permit there in the lower right corner. provide key findings and simple graphics

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Nov 8, 2012

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Nov 8, 2012

components. a quick look at the data or detailed look of the data indicates that san francisco's economic recovery continued in 2011. jobs were up 2%. they're at 5 69,000 jobs at the end of 2011. unemployment was down to 8.6% from 9.5%. total wages earned city-wide were up 8% to 45 billion. this construction spending or cost estimate number was at 3.4 billion, which is up 52% over the year previously. taxable sales was up. city revenue was up a little. and city expenditures were flat from the previous year, which is a good thing and they're less than revenues. in terms of a sneak peek of 2012, looks like recovery is continuing. we've got a nonseasonally adjusted unemployment rate as of september 2012, it's down to 6.9% from annual average in 2011 of 8.6%. and we've got a gain of almost 10,000 jobs, up 2%, since the beginning of the year. this is employment development department data, their monthly labor force report release. and on that note, i conclude my briefing and entertain any questions or comments you might have. >> commissioner wu. >> i just wanted to ask on the point that you ma

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Nov 11, 2012

of the lower paying jobs will be the fact that you may be getting the data from one of these jobs, not the multiple jobs that are -- because of the nature of the work it lends itself to having different employers. another thing i came up with here was the transportation piece. and i saw a huge number rider ship on the san bruno lines and historically the geary line was always the heaviest and the judah line for the light rail which remained real heavy, but i'm sort of surprised why the san bruno lines were as heavy as they are and that might be something we really want to look at for the future to see if there's anyway -- i know we'll have the central subway, but that won't necessarily deal with that particular section of the city. most typically that's southeastern san francisco. the only thing i know of that would be close to there might be the caltrain where there's a station at potrero hill and there used to be one at paul. i don't know it's operational any more. there's the bayview station just at the san francisco, san mateo county line. but certainly bears paying attention

KCNS - Noticias Mundo Fox

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Nov 28, 2012

KCNS
Noticias Mundo Fox

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Nov 28, 2012

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Nov 12, 2012

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Nov 12, 2012

reducing our carbon footprint as a city. it's not just the households. once we get that data out we could look at the data from a community.re level and look at e data from a citywide level to see what we can do. i'm encouraged by that. i didn't want to give my data up to pg&e for various reasons. now iú] want to give it up for this challenge because i know people will be creative in having thisçe challenge to be something positive for the city. i wanted to announce that, get that out there with you, and join this wonderful challenge that you have, and think about how we could work together. meanwhile, in between that stuff and in between celebrating the month and doing things we have to write a proposal to win the superbowl in san francisco. thank you very much. thank you. >> [applause.] >> thank you, mayor lee. >> all right. we're on. apologies for the difficulties and i want to welcome everyone to the special meeting of the government audit and oversight committee today on monday october 29 here in the city and county of san francisco home of the world series champions giants. i

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Nov 28, 2012

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Nov 28, 2012

lives in the city, to give your data of your own energy use in the city, like your home energy use? all that data about when you use it, what are your hot times, your cool times. how about if we try to find some way to inspire people to give us that]h data, in some coordinated way. because if we understand that 20 to 22% of our emissions comes from1ar residenl use, you can imagine if we had that data coming from every household use in the city we could break that data down with involvement of creative people like yourselves, and then try o see where there's patterns where we could lessen our carbon footprint and talk about better energy use. that's perfect for us. that's what we're going to ask this challenge to present for our next improve sf challenge for the city. and that's what we'd like to engage people in. and then hopefully, some time after this challenge is announced, and if we can get the best ideas out there, we will be engaged with you to select the best answer. and if there's an idea out there that can answer that question about how to inspire people, then hopefully wq can

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Nov 1, 2012

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Nov 1, 2012

are things like we are going to unlock the data of government by the fall. taking the rich stores of data that we have in the government and making it open and making it readable, and building application and programming around it in a way that the people can... on the outside. and there are now companies being founded and formed, truly gone public today in the public a few months ago, a couple of companies that are largely based on government data, you know, examples all over the place. if you look at the era in which the u.s. government opened up weather data. and not only did it have profound effect on public safety when there are storms coming and agriculture and some of the others, it just provides and helped the quality of life in a profound way, the global positioning system and... almost every night created, 100,000 in economic value. incredible opportunities for doing this in job creation and safety and quality of life and really improving the lives of americans. so it did develop the strategies of 30-plus page document to the agencies of government that they have to work up the

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Nov 3, 2012

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Nov 3, 2012

system when is we ought to have a one and dozens of data centers when we ought to have one and when we have a streamlined and smaller agreement scpis could go on and on as you know. we identified these problems over the decade and somewhat can't solve them as the civil grand jury report pointed out we have a budget that is pushing $250 million i continue to be told by city staff and vendors that we could save tens of millions of dollars and be more efficient if we manage our information technology. now i do hope that today's session is an opportunity to talk about good and creative ideas. one of the phenomena i have seen is frankly a lot of finger pointing at different departments and who is at fault, and i think it's important to think why we got to this place, but what is the road map that is going to change thins? i know there are some that hope if and when we hire a new cio will change things and i want to note we had four individuals in those positions in the last ten years and not much as changed. the structure of how we govern ourselves from a it standpoint has not changed

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Nov 4, 2012

to evaluate them on an ongoing basis? for that focused data is needed. it's not done now. either is a data base for personnel city wide and match needs with talent and ability. we don't do that because we don't look at technology as important city wide service. we propose the introduction of city wide annual report to the mayor and the board of supervisors. at the last meeting the mayor's representative endorsed an idea like this. we applaud that. it needs to happen. we proposed a consolidated city wide budget and staffing plans, and if my slides work correctly, you can read that what your administrative code requires. it's not necessarily what is presented. without comprehensive information there is no way to evaluate the success of ict city wide consolidations. we found no real analysis to point where cost savings come from department to department for the city for any of the consolidations. isn't there is a need -- didn't i just do this? we propose a consolidated city wide ict budget and staffing plans. we propose a survey of ict performance from departments that is updated period

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Nov 4, 2012

think we entrusted your department with the data center project. i could agree or partially agree with the statement depending where you want to go with that mr. chairman. >> partially agree is fine. >> okay. finding number ten. the lack of a functional reporting relationship between the city cio and the departmental cio's functional weakness for city wide problems and partially agree the city's inability to manage these projects in a centralized function could benefit from reporting relationship between the city, cio and department c cio's. number 11. allowing common ict xurchgzs addressed and performed by department by department basis has lead to duplication and unnecessary spending. for this i agree. addressing by individual departments is the reason for duplicative efforts and spending. finding 12. the plan does not include ongoing operational activities and prior funding. for this i agree. the five year plan is a strategic plan and focus on operational activities would be helpful. find be number 13. there are no consolidated budget and staffing plans. partially agre

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Nov 14, 2012

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Nov 14, 2012

the data and they have to make this stuff available in the way that we collect it, and use it and public information should remain public and we are going to drive that forward. >> there are a lot of things in the strategy around and the use of mobile government and how we summarize the... and think about the 21st century government in that way. and the policy that launched a couple of weeks ago and so much more is being formed that i think will be very transformational in the years to come. >> wh, digital gov in the document, the digital updates, if you are like me you can experience it in a twitter boot strap format. and you can go through that, and i encourage you to not only download it, you know, and pay attention to what was going on and start using the data and start using... available and more importantly think about what are the next level? what is the next gps? how can we foster that? and then give that to us. you know, connecting on twitter, follow up on the... (inaudible) sector and today and just let us know. you know, it is actually going to come from here, the government n

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Nov 27, 2012

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Nov 27, 2012

there for the broader social benefit possible. the first city in the world to have that kind of data available. >> other cities can take elements of sfpark and implement it in the cities. los angeles is working on it. berkeley is working on a project. washington, d.c. is, too. cities are looking at parking management differently than the have in the past. >> later this year, we are gathering all the data we need to evaluate rigorously all our expectations of how this can reduce greenhouse gas emissions, congestion, improve transit speed, reliability, reduc. [applause] >> good evening. i'm the director of transportation. for me, this is not the academy awards. this is the all-star game. the folks sitting over here are truly the all stars of the city. i've had an opportunity to work with ed, harlan, and jocelyn. behalf of all of us. we are also very lucky to have a bunch of people from sfmta, many of them are here. my job is to introduce the awardees. please join me and give a hand for jay primus, george reynolds, steven lee, and lorraine fuqua. >> thank you. this is a tremendous honor. it really does fee

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Nov 1, 2012

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Nov 1, 2012

and present further details on the data, on the status of our current juniors and their graduation, as well as some action items we have taken since the last time we were all together. what i would like to do today is to really brief outline of the context, just to give folks an idea of our overall graduation requirements and talk about the immediate action plan we have put in place since the last time we saw you, including the review of some data that is a little more detailed than before and answer any questions. so just to sort of set the context for folks, because it gets to be very complicated when we talk about graduation requirements, because we have so many different options for students. and so as we are now -- when we made the decision to raise our graduation requirements to meet and be aligned to the uc requirements, it was also at a time we were facing severe budget cuts. so within that context most of our schools have a six-period day rather than a seven-period day. just to give you a sense, in a six -period day a typical student, a student would have four opportunitis to

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Nov 2, 2012

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Nov 2, 2012

for these purposes. we propose a data base for personnel. maybe we have enough data but we're not collecting the right useful data. everyone agrees that hiring for technology needs to be improved. technology is a highly dynamic and ever changing field. no one can predict the five years of technology or what talent will be required. of your cell phone. the administrator requires a staffing plan. doesn't exist. there maybe hurdles to overcome but hiring as permanent exempt is better than the traditional civil service for technology. it reduces time to hire. it raises proakt of attracting top talent. it means hiring mistakes can be corrected easily. it's done elsewhere in the city. lawyers and our attorney departments do have at will status for the same reasons as we find with technology. isn't it worth the effort to match talent with what is needed? culture is a mighty force. it provides comfort in it's traditions. it's a safe haven u because it's tried and accepted. it's reinforced because it's troublesome to change but culture all blinds to the other ways of doing things evenin

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Nov 10, 2012

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Nov 10, 2012

a look at all the data we have, including anecdotal data, information that is given to us by people who are talking through their clergy or their friends or juvenile probation officers and others, not to squeal, but to get better information so we can predict where the crimes will be connected, again, in a very specific way. and we know some of those areas already. they happen over and over again, but predicted policing is about using the best data and the best systems we have, not only to respond with officers on the street, as sensitive as they can be, but we also have to predictably before the events happened saturate those areas with our probation officers, with our crime

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Nov 10, 2012

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Nov 10, 2012

question to answer. there are a lot of data gaps. i was a local elected official and we worked very hard to get schools to collect data on incidents of violence in the school and, frankly, there's a lot of data integrity issues involved. you don't want to be the school that has the highest number of incidents in your district. and so there's a built-in perverse incentive to sweep things under the rug. and so part of the challenge moving forward and i have had many conversations with superintendents and law enforcement officials as well about how we can address this data integrity issue and how a school won't be hoisted by their own petard because they had the courage to collect the data when other schools kind of look the other way. so, again, it's a hard question to answer in ways that are other than anecdote. there have been survey data and things of that nature, but i feel uncomfortable saying unequivocally this is what we know, these are the trends. i like to be evidence based and i'm not sure the evidence allows that. >> roslyn, challenges to you and secretary duncan. >> for the

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Nov 21, 2012

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Nov 21, 2012

the deadline for implementation of electronic trip data and backseat passenger information. >> director -- >> chairman nolan: -- how does the universal app fit into this? >> we have issued a uniform solicitation rfi for the development of the system that will pull real-time information from all the dispatch services that will basically provide the framework for the creation of a universal app so that just as members of the public have said, people through an app, developed by third-party, would have his ability into all the taxis out there. i concur wholly but that is something absolutely needed, probably the single most important thing we need to do to strengthen our taxi industry. we have issued that rfi; responses were due on november 30th, we may have extended that a bit. the belief is that based on the information that we get, we may alter the requirement that we have for electronic data, the current deadline for which is december 31. we are requesting your authorization to extend the deadline for the collection of electronic data by two months, so we have an opportunity

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Nov 15, 2012

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Nov 15, 2012

. they have agreed to do that. they will also explore the feasibility of minimizing the data stored on clipper cards encrypting the data or providing the ability for users to clear the data. they also will agree and the resolution requests that the mtc provide faq's, frequently asked questions and information regarding those questions on a web site that clipper card users can access that will explain the privacy policy and how the clipper cards are used. it also creates an annual transparency report that publishes the number of requests for information from law enforcement and other groups and the percentage of those requests that actually were granted. so that would also be information that will be shared with other agencies and with the public so that if law enforcement agencies want to gather fotion, gt -- information, that will be shared the number of times that happens over the year. that was something that was a big concern for the mtc so we removed that language and really feel that the mtc has been working well with us and with other stake holders to assure that there are actual new

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Nov 2, 2012

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Nov 2, 2012

capital plan i think ict plan would benefit from annual review. 16. there is a scarcity in the data separate from departmental budgets. agree. it's difficult to get data from individual departments and what should be consolidated. finding number 17 -- and i have to point out to the civil grand jury aren't you glad you had all these find ?tion number 17, coit focuses on the implementation of city wide projects and not the cost and savings from the project. i agree. while these have been attempted for city wide it's minimal and proper departments are not inventized to calculate the savings and costs of this and potential lose resources. finding number 18. there's a need for city wide ict asset management system. 18. i agree. departments should provide this data to the department of technology. the fact it's not done is reflective of the fact that departments are not willing to share or centralize these assets. finding 19. there is a need for data base of city wide personnel. agree. this could assist coit in the city cio to understand duplicative functions and prchl personnel

CNNW - Fareed Zakaria GPS

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CNNW
Fareed Zakaria GPS

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Nov 11, 2012

several presidents. >>> then, what happens when you mix big data and a presidential election? the results are fascinating and a little scary. it might well be the future of politics in america. >>> also, sea barriers, wetlands, futuristic construction materials. what is the answer to climate change and how can we all adapt to this new normal of hurricanes, tornadoes, and floods? i'll talk to jeffrey sachs and "time" magazine's brian walsh. >>> and why is there such an antiqued way of voting? i'll take a look. but first here's my take. growing up in the india in the 1960s and '70s, ales thought of america as the future. it was the place where the newest technology, the best gadgets, the latest fads seemed to originate. seemingly exotic political causes, women's liberation, gay rights, ageism, always seemed to get their start on the streets of the united states orthopedic in the courts and legislatures. for me, tuesday's election brought back that sense of america as the future. the presidential race has been discussed as one that was about nothing with no message or mandate, but i don't th

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Nov 4, 2012

at the overall data where we are now with our current junior class, the class of 2014. there is two charts. one of them shows our graduation requirements, which is the chart on the right. our graduation requirements currently are that you pass the courses within an a through a d grade. the uc-eligible, in order to get into uc, you do need to have c averages. and so the chart on the left shows the students who are in each of the categories, having achieved the categories a-c. so we have a total of 4024 students who are currently juniors. 2216 of them are on-track and they have passed the classs that we would expect them to pass, and have met, like the english, the science, the social studies, the pe, in order to be aligned to the uc requirements. we have another 1319 students who have 110 credits, but they are missing one of those benchmarks. and again, that benchmark could be that they failed one semester of pe, they failed a math course. it could be that they are an english-learner and haven't yet had the opportunity to take their core english class, because most of the beginning english learn

KRCB - Newsline

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Oct 31, 2012

KRCB
Newsline

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Oct 31, 2012

.s. jobs data, which will be out on friday, as well as the u.s. presidential election next week. so a lot to watch out for. back to the studio. >> a lot to watch out for indeed, thank you very much. our business reporter at the tokyo stock exchange. >>> that's all for business news for this hour. i'll leave you with a recap of the markets. >>> u.s. president barack obama would be speaking to crowd after crowd in swing states if it hadn't been for the storm. he has less than a week to convince undecided voters. st americans have already examined his record over the past four years. he started his term with a sentiment offered by many of those who came before him. >> that america can change. our union can be perfected. >> many americans have grown tired of what their country had come to represent under george w. bush. obama promised change at home and abroad. he brought an end to the war in iraq. he said u.s. combat forces would pull out of afghanistan by the end of 2014. and he promised to decimate al qaeda. >> after a fire fight they killed osama bin laden and took custody of his body. we

KNTV - Wall Street Journal Rpt.

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Nov 5, 2012

KNTV
Wall Street Journal Rpt.

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Nov 5, 2012

called a master of predictions. nate silver is the statistician whose analysis of polling data led to a near perfect forecast of the 2008 election. his work accurately called the electoral outcome of 49 out of 50 states and every senate race in con teng. his 538 blog named for the total number of votes in the electoral college is hosted by the new york time and the author of the new book "the signal and the noise, why so many predictions fail but some don't." thank you for joining us. a few days before the election day and your analysis of the poll has given the president a better than 80% chance of winning, is that right? >> we have had 80% the past couple of days here. we are at the point where the polls are not likely to change very much. there is uncertainty there. but the fact the president leads in ohio and iowa states where you would need, he would need to win 270 electoral votes means he is the favorite in the electoral college on t?tuesday. >> walk us through the key states that you think have the probability to win the election. what's the data for ohio. >> they have a 0/

CNBC - Wall Street Journal Rpt.

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CNBC
Wall Street Journal Rpt.

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Nov 4, 2012

. what's the data about ohio? >> ohio has a 50/50 chance of having the decisive vote on its own. it's very hard for romney to have a winning path without ohio. he would have to win some other state in the midwest like wisconsin, for example, or iowa, and then run the table in colorado and virginia and so forth. we go through all of the math and it seems complicated but the fact is that obama has been ahead in almost all of the polls in ohio by two or three points. that holds up more often than you would think. you have an 80% chance of winning the state if you have a lead into election. >> so much of your book focuses on the inability to plan accurately based on forecasts ranging from economic indicator to hurricane warnings. what's your take on this week, hurricane sandy and final jobs report? >> this was predicted very well, four or five days in advance they forecast it would barrel into southern new jersey as it does and have a very severe storm surge. it's a real triumph for science in some ways as well as a human tragedy. i think the jobs report on friday was a decent number as

MSNBCW - The Rachel Maddow Show

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Nov 2, 2012

MSNBCW
The Rachel Maddow Show

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Nov 2, 2012

they were going to win. he said they have the polling data that showed they were going to win and they did not win in any of those states. this is just part of the way the game is played. it's just bluffing. and that is important context for understanding what's going on in the last four days of the campaign. there are patterns to how presidential elections end. some of the same stuff happens every four years. specifically, in 1992, the republican candidate was poppy bush. he went and campaigned in pennsylvania. and then the next day, he lost pennsylvania. the next election, 1996, bob dole. right before the election, bob dole went and campaigned in pennsylvania. then bob dole lost pennsylvania. in 2004 the republican was george bush and the day before the election he went and campaigned in pennsylvania. and the next day, george bush lost pennsylvania. last time around as well the sunday before the election, there's john mccain campaigning in pennsylvania. and then john mccain loses pennsylvania. right before the election, you can set your watch by it. the republican presidential contender

CSPAN - Politics & Public Policy Today

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Nov 27, 2012

CSPAN
Politics & Public Policy Today

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Nov 27, 2012

of that every day of the progress data from that session gets loaded up into an on-line portal. we get the access to principles and the school district and teachers. we want our clients to have the information. we want them to see what their students are working on. we do not want to do show them. johnny actually worked on these five skills. we are not currently required to provide that information. there are some states that require that you actually lay out your pre and post assessment results. if they take that into consideration. are we impacting student achievement in your program? that this not happen in a lot of places. we welcome that additional accountability. we now learn it systems and their colleagues are going to be able to meet these challenges of providing information. >> one thing i thought i heard is not just providers willingly sharing this data by being proactive about writing the standards. how do we know what you are doing? is learn it involved to try to get some outcome that turks like that that would be widely available? >> we participate in a couple of diffe

SFGTV -

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Nov 3, 2012